Is India’s GDP Growth Overstated? No!

The recent debate about accuracy of India’s GDP estimation following the revised estimation methodology in 2011 is extremely significant.

  • Models that incorrectly over-estimate GDP growth by 2.7 % for India post-2011 also misestimate GDP growth over the same period for 51 out of 95 countries in the sample.
  • Several advanced economies such as UK, Germany and Singapore have their GDPs mis-estimated with incompletely specified econometric model.
  • Concerns of a mis-estimated Indian GDP are unsubstantiated by the data and are thus unfounded.