Energy Security: Some External Factors

Changes in the Energy Mix

  • The world is moving away from overwhelming dependence on fossil fuel.
  • Within the fossil fuels, gas is preferred over coal.
  • The share of oil has fallen from 36% in 2005 to 33% in 2015.
  • Share of natural gas has increased from 23% to 24% during the same period.
  • Renewable energy (including nuclear and large hydro) too has gone up from 12.5% to 14% in the period 2005-15.

Supply of Natural Gas

  • The success of horizonal drilling combined with the technology of hydraulic fracture, has led to increase in the production of natural gas.
  • The price of gas is lower than that of oil.
  • It is also one-third lesser as carbon emitting than oil.
  • This is why gas will continue to be preferred over oil.

Prices of Oil and Gas are falling

  • Oil and gas prices have softened, and this is triggering energy policy reforms across the world.
  • The prices of oil and gas have fallen by 50% and 70%, respectively over 2014.
  • Many oil importing countries including India have been able to attempt bold petroleum pricing reforms.
  • Countries including India are in a sound fiscal position to attempt larger energy policy reforms.

Maturity of Renewable Energy Technologies

  • Prices of wind and solar technologies have declined sharply in the recent years.
  • This has led to a change in the relative importance of energy sources.
  • Tropical countries, are richly endowed with wind and solar energy sources.
  • With the help of technologies, India is in a position to harness renewable energy sources in an innovative manner to meet energy requirements at decentralized locations.

Climate Change Concerns

  • The world has come to realize that there is a relationship between energy use and poor environmental outcomes.
  • There is a heightened consciousness of the need to fix poor air quality standards in Indian cities.