Changing Monsoon Behaviour due to Climate Change
Climate change is fundamentally altering the drivers and characteristics of the Indian Summer Monsoon, moving it towards a state of increased intensity, higher variability, and altered spatial distribution. This shift poses an existential threat to India's food security, water resources, and economic stability.
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Shift in Behaviour and Climate Mechanism |
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Aspect of Change |
Observed/Projected Shift in Behaviour |
Underlying Climate Mechanism |
Data/Model Projection |
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Rainfall Intensity |
Increase in the frequency of extreme rainfall events (short, intense bursts) and longer 'dry spells' in between. |
Warmer Atmosphere: A warmer atmosphere holds more moisture (Clausius-Clapeyron relation), leading to intense downpours. |
IMD Data: Indicates a significant increase in heavy rainfall events (>150 mm/day) .... |
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