Post-Insurgency Security Vacuum
As insurgency declines (notably in LWE and parts of the Northeast), a security vacuum can emerge if state capacity does not consolidate gains. Transition from force-led control to governance-led stability requires strengthening local policing and institutions.
Nature of the Security Vacuum
- Withdrawal/Downsizing of Central Forces: Reduction of CAPF presence without adequate state capacity can create gaps in area domination.
- Residual Networks and Splinters: Surviving cadres, Over Ground Workers (OGWs), and criminal offshoots can reorganise or shift to crime/extortion.
- Governance Lag: Delays in service delivery and justice systems undermine public confidence in the state.
- Grey-Zone Risks: Possibility of external support rekindling violence ....
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