Open Skies Treaty
- On 21st May, 2020, the United States announced its intention to withdraw from the Open Skies treaty (OST).
Reasons for Withdrawal
- United States and Russia have long accused the other of breaching its terms.
- For ex, in 2014, Moscow imposed an unpermitted 500-kilometer limit on flights over the strategically important enclave of Kaliningrad.
- Russia also denied a U.S.-Canadian flight over its “Tsentr” military exercise in September 2019.
- Washington declared Russia in violation of OST in 2017 and restricted Russian access to Hawaii and Alaska in retaliation.
- Part of the reason is that US is able to obtain equally good or better data from its satellites. No other country can match US’s satellite monitoring capabilities.
- For the US, the OST is not particularly useful as an intelligence gathering tool, but the reality is that it was always intended as a confidence building and transparency measure.
- As tensions between US and Russia have grown, US have become more interested in restricting transparency over its territory.
About Open Skies Treaty
Impact of US Withdrawal
END of OST
- There may be collateral costs of OST withdrawal; the treaty itself may survive without U.S. participation, but Washington’s exit will diminish the agreement’s value to Russia significantly.
- Moscow’s withdrawal would probably kill OST, ending a key source of intelligence for many NATO allies.
- This unilateral U.S. move, taken over its allies’ objections, is likely to damage NATO cohesion.
- S. departure would also further weaken the international arms control architecture and be a further blow to any global sense of stability.
Uncertainty over Nuclear Related Treaties
- The first is Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF). In August, 2019, US exited the INF treaty the West had signed with Russia citing distrust of the latter.
- The US withdrawal from OST shows that the US may not renew the New Start Treaty due to expire in February 2021.
- The second is the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty which was concluded in 1996 but has not entered into force.
- It prohibits countries from carrying out nuclear test explosions but earlier this year US voiced suspicions that both Russia and China were carrying out low yield nuclear tests in violation of the understanding on zero-yield threshold.
- US has signed but not ratified the CTBT and there are indications that it may be planning to test.
- The US should reconsider its intention to withdraw from the OST. Washington profits from this “military-to-military engagement tool” as it contributes to greater transparency and stability in the Euro-Atlantic region. While the intelligence and confidence building advantages are limited for the United States itself, they are very real for America’s NATO Allies.
- State Parties should return to full compliance with the treaty. They should remove all restrictions that they have unilaterally imposed on Open Skies flights.
- In particular, parties should give consideration to the provisions on the implementation of status neutral confidence- and security-building measures (CSBMs).
- European State Parties should make every effort to remain in the treaty, even if the United States withdraws.
- According to Article XV.3 of the treaty, if the United States withdraws, Canada and Hungary must convene a conference of the States Parties no less than 30 days and no more than 60 days after they have received a withdrawal notice. Parties should adopt a position of maximum flexibility.
- Should the United States withdraw from the Open Skies Treaty, remaining State Parties must make a determined effort to consider its effect on the treaty.
USA Exiting The Paris Agreement
- In first week of November, 2019, the Trump administration gave formal notice to the United Nations regarding United States withdrawal from the Paris Climate Agreement.
- According to a US State Department, the withdrawal will take effect one year from delivery of the notification.
- The United States would then be the only UN member country in the world that is no longer part of the agreement.
- Despite Trump’s announcement in 2017 a formal move to withdraw from the 2015 pact had to wait till this year because of a provision in the Paris Agreement. The 2015 pact had lock in period of three years from the date of its entry into force—the Paris Agreement entered into force on November 4, 2016.
- The notification begins the formal year long process for the US to withdraw from the agreement. This will mean that US will continue to be part of the discussions that is going to n held in December, 2019, in Madrid, Spain.
Reason for Exiting
- During his 2016 presidential campaign, Donald Trump had said the Paris Agreement is unfair at the highest level to the USA interest.
- The current government believes that the Paris Agreement undermines U.S. competitive edge and impairs both employment and traditional energy industries.
- One key but quiet aspect of the Trump withdrawal that is raising more and more concern is the question of finance. Around $10bn is due to be paid in to the Green Climate Fund by the end of this year, with the US having already contributed $1bn under President Obama.
- Due to shale gas evolution, the United States carbon emission has decreased in previous years, therefore it feels that there is not much requirement of further regulations.
- Paris deal will be successful only when all the countries meet their intended nationally determined contributions (INDCs) but as the agreement is not legally binding, the other countries will enjoy flexibility while US will have to face serious regulations.
Process for a Country to Exit Paris Agreement
- According to the Article 28 of the agreement, a member can begin a formal withdrawal process no earlier than three years after the treaty enters into force.
- Any such withdrawal shall take effect upon expiry of one year from the date of receipt by the Depositary of the notification of withdrawal, or on such later date as may be specified in the notification of withdrawal.
Possibility of USA returning to the Agreement
- There is no bar on a country rejoining the Paris Agreement, giving an opportunity to USA to return to the agreement later.
- Article 21 of the agreement states that a country that is not a party to the agreement can join it by submitting a formal notification, which will take effect 30 days later. This procedure is the same whether a country used to be a party and then withdrew, or is joining for the first time.
Impact of USA Withdrawal
- The United States is the world’s second largest emitter of greenhouse gases. As part of its commitment to the Paris Agreement, the United States had promised to reduce its emissions by 26 per cent to 28 per cent by the year 2025 from 2005 levels.
- The move could seriously jeo pardise the world’s objective of keeping the global temperature rise to within 2 degrees Celsius from pre-industrial times.
- While exiting the Paris Agreement does not automatically mean the abandonment of this target or of any future action by the United States on climate change, it would no longer be committed to these actions.
- The biggest impact might be on the financial flows to enable climate actions.The United States plays a preeminent role in mobilising financial resources globally, and its absence from the scene could seriously hamper that effort.
- However, by withdrawing from the Paris Agreement, the U.S. gains itself more emission space and lower mitigation costs while squeezing other country’s emission space and raising their mitigation costs and this will in turn make it more difficult and expensive to achieve the 2°C target of the Paris Agreement.
- The US withdrawal will mean that other countries would have to step up their efforts to curb greenhouse emissions. This could mean increased pressure on developing countries such as China and India, the largest and third largest emitters.
- For the international community, the exit of the U.S. opens an opportunity to galvanised climate leadership from other member states. Historically, the USA, along with the EU, has so far played a major role in pushing the climate agenda forward from Rio to Paris.
- Even if the United States does rejoin the Paris Agreement in the future, other countries will remember that it unilaterally left an agreement that had global support and may well believe that the country could do so again in the future. America’s reputation as a reliable international partner already has suffered damage that will take a long time to repair.
- However, given the projected rapid increase in carbon emission from developing countries, climate leadership and action from these countries will be crucial in limiting global emission rate. Encouraging signs are seen from the two highest populated and greenhouse gas emitting countries — China and India,which are currently on track to overachieve their NDC pledges and further increase their targets.
- In the last few years, China has managed to transform its image from grudging bargainer to silent torch bearer in climate action. It has the highest installed capacity in wind and solar power, introduced the world’s largest carbon trading scheme and made credible commitments to strive for ecological civilization. India, on the other hand, is on its way to overshoot its NDC target of 40% renewable energy capacity addition by 2022. It has initiated the International Solar Alliance (ISA) of more than 120 countries for harnessing solar energy and is projected to play a key role in global climate governance in the coming years.
- US withdrawal makes it more important for the remaining countries to show strong political commitment to collectively implementing the treaty.
India And Nuclear Supplier Group
- Recently, while addressing a business gathering in the Bloomberg Global Business, New York, Indian Prime Minister made a pitch for India’s membership of the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG).
About the Issue
- While the U.S. and other countries support India’s entry into the NSG, China has been blocking India's entry into the NSG which regulates the global nuclear commerce and has been insisting that only countries which have signed the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) be allowed only to become members.
- After the grand bargain following the nuclear detente with the US in 2005, India has gained substantially from the NSG waiver and partial safeguards agreement with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) in 2008 without signing the NPT.
What is Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG)?
- Established in 1975, the NSG consists of 48 states that have voluntarily agreed to coordinate their export controls to non-nuclear-weapon states. The NSG governs the transfers of civilian nuclear material and nuclear-related equipment and technology.
- To prevent nuclear exports for commercial and peaceful purposes from being used to make nuclear weapons.
- India's explosion of a nuclear device in 1974 reaffirmed the fact that nuclear materials and technologies acquired under the guise of peaceful purposes could be diverted to build weapons. In response to India's action, Zangger Committee members established the NSG to further regulate nuclear-related exports.
- The NSG first met in November 1975 in London, and is thus popularly referred to as the London Club.
- The NSG Guidelines are consistent with various international, legally binding instruments in the field of nuclear nonproliferation. It consists of two parts-
- Part I lists materials and technology designed specifically for nuclear use. These include fissile materials, nuclear reactors and equipment, and reprocessing and enrichment equipment.
- Part II identifies dual-use goods; non-nuclear items with legitimate civilian applications that can also be used to develop weapons.
Criteria for NSG Membership
- The ability to supply items (including items in transit) covered by the annexes to Parts 1 and 2 of the NSG Guidelines.
- Adherence to the Guidelines and action in accordance with them.
- Full compliance with the obligations of one or more of the following: the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), the Treaties of Pelindaba, Rarotonga, Tlatelolco, Bangkok, or an equivalent international nuclear nonproliferation agreement.
Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT)
Members: 190 countries. India, along with Israel, Pakistan, and South Sudan, have never signed the treaty.
Expected Benefits of NSG Membership for India
- Boost to Make in India Initiative: Access to technology and being allowed to produce nuclear equipment will give a boost to the Make in India program. That will boost economic growth in India, create more jobs and even lead to a whole new IT-industry segment that India can leverage.
- Indigenous Production of Nuclear Equipments: NSG membership also means India can begin to commercially produce nuclear power equipment, which it can then even sell to other countries, contributing to its economy.
- Help in Meeting NDC under Paris Agreement: Entry to NSG club will help India to meet its commitments, including reducing greenhouse gas emission intensity of its GDP by 33-35 percent below 2005 levels by 2030, under its Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC), made at COP 21, Paris.
- It will also help to ease India’s dependency on fossil fuels to meet its domestic energy demand, which are major source to environmental pollutions.
- Access to Technology: Membership to the NSG will essentially increase India's access to state-of-the-art technology from the other existing members of the group.
- Equipped with latest technology, India would be able to build more advanced versions of its fast breeder reactors and even supply them to States without nuclear programs
- Helps in Exposing Pakistan: Besides, NSG membership will give India a chance to expose Pakistan’s terrible proliferation record and it can prevent Pakistan from getting it, very similar to the manner in which China is blocking India from becoming a member.
- India is moving towards clean energy including investment-intensive nuclear power for which NSG membership is crucial to building investor confidence.
- Although the 2008 NSG waiver provided significant possibilities for India to engage in civilian nuclear trade with other countries, entry into the NSG will provide greater certainty and a legal foundation for India's nuclear regime and thus greater confidence for those countries investing billions of dollars to set up ambitious nuclear power projects in India.
- As a member of the NSG, India can contribute to the underlying non-proliferation objectives and will also play an important role in the rule making process for nuclear commerce.
Why is it in News?
Geneva Convention came into the light when Pakistan had captured Wing Commander of India Abhinandan Varthaman.
What are the Geneva Conventions?
- The 1949 Geneva Conventions are a set of international treaties that ensure that warring parties conduct themselves in a humane way with non-combatants such as civilians and medical personnel, as well as with combatants no longer actively engaged in fighting, such as prisoners of war, and wounded or sick soldiers.
- All countries are signatories to the Geneva Conventions. There are four conventions, with three protocols added on since 1949.
Is it applicable only during the Wars?
The provisions of the conventions apply in peacetime situations, in declared wars, and in conflicts that are not recognized as war by one or more of the parties.
Does the case of Wg. Cmdr. Abhinandan Varthaman fall under the ambit of Geneva Conventions?
Yes, even if both the countries are not engaged in a declared war, provisions of Geneva conventions are still applicable as the Wing Commander is not charged on espionage (in case of espionage, Geneva Conventions do not apply). It must be noted that the Geneva Conventions covers a very broad range of issues.
What are Rights given to Prisoners of War (POW) under the Convention?
- He must be protected against public insult treated humanely under all circumstances.
- He shall not be subjected to physical or mental tortures.
- The minimum conditions of detention have also been defined which includes accommodation, food, clothing, hygiene and medical care.
- He shall not be forced to provide information of any kind.
Who Monitors the Release of POW?
International Committee of Red Cross acts as a mediator in the cases related to POW.